筆試：時間1小時�！　〉谝徊糠郑盒愿駵y試DISC。

四十道，做完之后要在最后統計各個選項出現的次數。

第二部分：

一。英譯中 選得是美聯儲副*耶倫的演講稿的一段。

Vice Chair Janet L. Yellen

To sum up, growth inadvanced nations, including the United States, faces serious headwinds.Households are still deleveraging, corporations are reluctant to invest, andfiscal consolidation is needed over time to place public finances on asustainable course. Despite some pickup in growth in the United States duringthe second half of the year, the outlook is for unemployment to diminish onlyslowly, remaining painfully high for many years to come. These developmentshave also affected emerging market economies, where there are now clear signsof slowing growth. In addition, downside risks to global growth have increasedsignificantly because of rising financial market Pssures, reflecting anintensification of stress in European banking and sovereign debt markets aswell as broader concerns about the outlook。

二。簡答(四選二)

1。宏觀經濟增速放緩，市場對“硬著陸”擔憂加劇，請運用所學理論并結合實際談談你的看法。

2。今年初以來，人民幣對美元匯率從6.6升值到6.33，請結合理論和實際分析人民幣對美元匯率的變化對我國大宗商品市場的影響。

3。在正常情況下，美國WTI原油比歐洲北海布倫特原油升水1至3美元。2017年9月，WTI原油對布倫特原油貼水25美元，假定兩地之間原油的運輸費用為5美元。請設計一個套利方案。

4。請解釋貨幣乘數在市場利率上升時增加，在再貼現率下降時減少的原因。

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